Bermuda
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Not Applicable
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(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)
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(IRS Employer Identification No.)
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Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
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Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
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Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
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Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
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Same store sales (excludes impact of revenue recognition)
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down low to mid single digit %
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Total sales
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$5.9 billion to $6.1 billion
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GAAP diluted EPS
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$0.00 to $0.60
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Non-GAAP diluted EPS1
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$3.75 to $4.25
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Weighted average common shares - basic
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55 million to 56 million
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Weighted average common shares - diluted
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62 million to 63 million
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Capital expenditures
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$165 million to $185 million
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Net selling square footage
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-4.0% to -5.0%
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Same store sales (excludes impact of revenue recognition)
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down low to mid single digit %
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Total sales
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$1.39 billion to $1.42 billion
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GAAP EPS
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$(1.40) to $(1.45)
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Non-GAAP EPS1
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$(0.15) to $(0.05)
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Weighted average common shares - basic
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60.0 million
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1. |
Revenue recognition and other revenue considerations:
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· |
Total sales include an estimate of $23 million in the first quarter of Fiscal 2019 related to the adoption of the new revenue recognition accounting standard with no associated operating profit impact; Fiscal 2019 sales guidance provided on March 14, 2018 includes an estimate of $100 million related to application of the new revenue recognition accounting standard
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The first quarter of Fiscal 2019 will be negatively impacted by previously closed stores. In the first quarter of 2018, these stores had approximately $35 million of sales. As provided on March 14, 2018, Fiscal 2018 included annual sales of $150 million that will not recur in Fiscal 2019 due to store closures
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Signet’s sales growth expectations in the first quarter of Fiscal 2019 are concentrated in the Company’s lower operating margin store banners including, Zale, Pagoda, Peoples and JamesAllen.com as compared to the first quarter of Fiscal 2018. This is expected to result in a lower operating margin rate in the first quarter of Fiscal 2019 as compared to the first quarter of Fiscal 2018
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2. |
Calendar shifts and other expense considerations:
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The sales from a Mother’s Day promotional event will shift into the first quarter of Fiscal 2019 from the second quarter of Fiscal 2018, increasing first quarter of Fiscal 2019 total sales and profit. To directionally quantify this, the first quarter of Fiscal 2018 was unfavorably impacted by 380 basis points in same store sales and $0.15 of EPS. This shift impacts the first quarter of Fiscal 2019 total sales and profit, but has no effect on same store sales. Consistent with the National Retail Federation guidelines, same store sales calculations are adjusted to comparable weeks and therefore are not impacted by the 53rd week in Fiscal 2018
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Advertising expense is expected to be higher in the first quarter of Fiscal 2019 by approximately $10 million as compared to the first quarter of Fiscal 2018 due to marketing expense associated with JamesAllen.com, digital marketing and social media
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Incentive compensation expenses in the first quarter of Fiscal 2019 are expected to be $13 million higher as compared to the first quarter of Fiscal 2018
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3. |
Credit outsourcing:
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Non-prime receivable transaction:
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Consistent with guidance provided on March 14, 2018, in the second month of the first quarter of Fiscal 2019, the non-prime receivables will be reclassified to assets held for sale and will be carried at fair value until they are sold to investment funds managed by CarVal Investors. The total pre-tax loss associated with the sale of non-prime receivables is expected to be $165 to $170 million inclusive of an estimated $7 million in transactions costs of which $140 million is expected to be recognized in the first quarter of Fiscal 2019 upon the reclassification of receivables as assets held for sale.
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As a result of the above transaction and upon the reclassification of the non-prime receivables held for sale, no further bad debt expense, late charge income or finance income beyond the second month of the first quarter of Fiscal 2019 will be recognized as this activity in future periods is reflected in the estimated pre-tax loss guidance
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Full credit outsourcing (prime and non-prime receivable transactions):
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In the first quarter of Fiscal 2019 an unfavorable operating profit impact is expected to be approximately $60 million as compared to first quarter of Fiscal 2018 related to credit outsourcing. This unfavorable impact includes: 1) a decline in finance charge income related to the sale of the prime receivables that occurred in the third quarter of Fiscal 2018; 2) bad debt expense in-line with the first quarter of Fiscal 2018 and 3) outsourced servicing expenses partially offset by the savings related to in-house credit operations.
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Fiscal 2019 guidance provided on March 14, 2018 includes an unfavorable annual operating profit impact of $118 - $133 million related to the full credit outsourcing as compared to Fiscal 2018. The $118-$133 million Fiscal 2019 impact is inclusive of the estimated $60 million impact in the first quarter of Fiscal 2019 noted above
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The unfavorable impact of the credit outsourcing is expected to be more pronounced in the first quarter of Fiscal 2019 as the Company continues to incur bad debt expense for two months in the first quarter of Fiscal 2019 related to its non-prime portfolio while generating significantly lower finance income following the outsourcing of its prime portfolio
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4. |
Signet Path to Brilliance transformation plan:
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Nearly all of the expected Fiscal 2019 net cost savings of $85 to $100 million related to the Signet Path to Brilliance transformation plan will be realized in the 2nd half of Fiscal 2019 and weighted more heavily to the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2019
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One-time pre-tax charges related to the transformation plan in the first quarter of Fiscal 2019 are expected to be $8 to $10 million. Fiscal 2019 guidance provided on March 14, 2018 includes one-time pre-tax charges estimated in the range of $125 - $135 million
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1. |
Since Fiscal 2019 follows a 53-week year, the Company will apply the National Retail Federation guidelines for its same store sales calculation. Other considerations include the following:
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We expect the second quarter of Fiscal 2019 total sales and operating profit will be unfavorably impacted compared to the second quarter of Fiscal 2018 due to the Mother’s Day event shifting back to the first quarter of Fiscal 2019. To directionally quantify this, the second quarter of Fiscal 2018 was favorably impacted by 380 basis points in same store sales and $0.15 of EPS
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At this time, the Company does not anticipate any unusual calendar events in the third quarter of Fiscal 2019 that will impact the comparability to the third quarter of Fiscal 2018
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As the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2019 will be a 52-week fiscal year, it does not have the 53rd week sales benefit of $84 million and EPS benefit of $0.12 that was recognized in Fiscal 2018
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2. |
The Fiscal 2019 unfavorable operating profit impact related to credit outsourcing of $118 - $133 million as compared to Fiscal 2018 is expected to be phased approximately 50% in the first quarter, 15% in the second quarter, 30% in the third quarter and 5% in the fourth quarter due to the timing of the credit outsourcing transactions. Other considerations include the following:
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As discussed above, the second, third and fourth quarter of Fiscal 2019 should have no further bad debt expense, late charge income and finance income
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The third quarter is the only quarter in Fiscal 2019 that, contains the net negative impact of: (1) a full quarter of merchant fees (credit outsourcing costs) for the full outsourced credit program; (2) the absence of finance charge and late fee income and (3) no bad debt expense. The third quarter of Fiscal 2018 included a net positive impact related to a full quarter of: (1) finance charge and late fee income; (2) bad debt expense and (3) no merchant fees (credit outsourcing costs). The effect results in a larger year-over-year variance in the third quarter of Fiscal 2019 as compared to the second and fourth quarter of Fiscal 2019
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The fourth quarter of Fiscal 2019 benefits from lapping the impact of lower finance income in the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2018 due to the sale of the prime receivables on October 23, 2018
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3. |
Signet expects that the combined impacts of: (1) the application of new revenue recognition and other revenue considerations; (2) the calendar shifts and other expense considerations; (3) the impact of credit outsourcing and (4) the Signet Path to Brilliance transformation plan will result in the majority of Fiscal 2019 operating profit occurring in the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2019. This also takes into consideration the following expectations:
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Expected improved sequential same store sales performance as transition issues in stores related to the outsourcing of credit improve and the benefits of the Path to Brilliance operational initiatives begin to take hold
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Expected greater fixed cost leverage due to improved sales performance versus earlier Fiscal 2019 quarters
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Anticipate less impact from negative margin mix versus earlier Fiscal 2019 quarters due to R2Net being included in the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2018 base
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Anticipate net cost savings from the Path to Brilliance transformation plan to be more heavily weighted to the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2019
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Anticipate lower impact from the credit outsourcing transaction versus earlier Fiscal 2019 quarters
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Fiscal 2019 Reconciliation
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Fiscal 2019
Guidance Low
End
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Fiscal 2019
Guidance High
End
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2019 GAAP Diluted EPS
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$
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—
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$
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0.60
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Charges related to transformation plan
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1.61
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1.56
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Loss related to sale of non-prime receivables
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2.14
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2.09
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2019 Non-GAAP Diluted EPS
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$
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3.75
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$
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4.25
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As a result of one-time charges and the loss associated with the sale of non-prime receivables, inclusive of transaction costs, Signet will likely realize a tax benefit for purposes of calculating GAAP EPS. The full year tax benefit is expected to be in a range from $62 to $67 million. The significant pre-tax loss expected to be generated in the first quarter of Fiscal 2019 will result in a tax benefit which approximates the benefit expected for the full year, thereby resulting in the similar range given below.
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Non-GAAP EPS guidance of $3.75 to $4.25 excludes one-time restructuring charges associated with the transformation plan, and the charges inclusive of servicing costs and transaction costs associated with the sale of the non-prime receivables. Non-GAAP EPS is computed using a normalized tax rate of 8% to 10%. Due to the revaluation of deferred taxes associated with the US tax reform there may be additional discrete items excluded from the calculation of non-GAAP EPS in Fiscal 2019 of which the company is not currently aware of at this time.
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For purposes of calculating both GAAP and non-GAAP EPS, the company expects to use the basic share count for the first, second and third quarters and the full year, and the diluted share for the fourth quarter of Fiscal 2019.
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EPS includes an estimated $475 million in share repurchases.
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First Quarter Fiscal 2019 Reconciliation
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13 Weeks
Ending May 5, 2018
Guidance Low End
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13 Weeks Ending
May 5, 2018
Guidance High End
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2019 GAAP Diluted EPS
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$
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(1.40
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)
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$
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(1.45
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)
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Charges related to transformation plan
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0.07
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0.08
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Loss related to non-prime receivables classified as assets held for sale
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1.18
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1.33
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2019 Non-GAAP Diluted EPS
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$
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(0.15
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)
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$
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(0.05
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)
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· |
As a result of one-time charges and the loss associated non-prime receivables classified as assets held for sale inclusive of transaction costs that Signet will recognize in the first quarter of Fiscal 2019, Signet will realize a tax benefit for purposes of calculating GAAP EPS. This tax benefit is expected to range from $62 to $67 million in the first quarter of Fiscal 2019.
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Non-GAAP EPS guidance of $(0.15) to $(0.05) for the first quarter of Fiscal 2019 excludes the $8 to $10 million one-time pre-tax charge related to the transformation plan and the $140 million loss associated with the non-prime receivables held for sale inclusive of transaction costs. Non-GAAP EPS is computed using a normalized tax rate of 8% to 10%.
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SIGNET JEWELERS LIMITED
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Date: April 2, 2018
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By:
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/s/ Michele Santana
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Name:
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Michele Santana
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Title:
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Chief Financial Officer
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