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Updated: 8:00 PM EDT, Aug 23, 2024
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Desperately Seeking Yield - Friday, Sept. 16
September 16, 2022
The dark side of rising interest rates is conspicuous near and far, but there’s also a bright side: higher yields, which are a byproduct of risk assets that take a beating in price, which in turn lifts...
Via
Talk Markets
Junk Bonds Could Send New Bearish Message To Stocks, Says Joe Friday
September 16, 2022
Junk bonds started sending a negative message to stocks last year, as they broke below their 30-week moving average last September.
Via
Talk Markets
Caution Is Called For In This Short-Term Uptrend
September 10, 2022
The general market turned higher this week, and we are now in another short-term uptrend. The PMO index has not posted a white candle, so I would consider it to be an unconfirmed uptrend for now, and...
Via
Talk Markets
Will CPI Catch Many On The Wrong Side Of The Market?
September 10, 2022
Will the CPI (inflation) report coming on September 13, 2022 catch many market participants/investors on the wrong foot? Did this week’s stock market rally bring the breadth thrusts back into play?
Via
Talk Markets
September Total Return Forecasts: Major Asset Classes
September 06, 2022
As financial markets sink, the relative allure of expected returns rises.
Via
Talk Markets
Bonds Speculators Bets Weaker This Week Led By Eurodollar & 2-Year Bonds
August 14, 2022
Via
Talk Markets
Major Asset Classes August 2022 Performance Review
September 05, 2022
The summer’s over and it looks like the summer rally is history, too.
Via
Talk Markets
Market X-Ray – The Big Bounce Fades
August 31, 2022
Commodities were the best performing asset class earlier in the year but they are undergoing a sharp correction now.
Via
Talk Markets
Junk Bonds Selloff Keeps Bears In Charge
August 31, 2022
Junk bonds are important as they represent investors' willingness to take on risk. So when they sell off as bad as we have seen this year, it’s a warning.
Via
Talk Markets
The Federal Reserve Is Hurting The Stock Market And Doesn’t Care
August 29, 2022
On Friday the Dow fell over 1000 points after Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell spoke and said that he was willing to have a recession if that is what it will take to beat down inflation.
Via
Talk Markets
Corporate HY Funds Report Second Largest Weekly Outflows (-$4.6 Billion) of 2022
August 28, 2022
At the close of the week, U.S. broad-based equity indices traded negative for the first week in six—S&P 500 (-3.12%), Nasdaq (-3.92%), Russell 2000 (-2.62%), and DJIA (-2.98%). The 10-two Treasury...
Via
Talk Markets
The Short-Term Market Downtrend Continues
August 27, 2022
The short-term market downtrend continues. The PMO index turned red early last week, confirming the downtrend signal. Now the PMO is very close to the bottom of its range, which signals that the best...
Via
Talk Markets
Large Bond Speculators Drop 5-Year Bonds Bets Lower For 4th Week To 24-Week Low
August 21, 2022
COT bond market speculator bets were mixed on the week, as four out of the eight bond markets we cover had higher positioning this week. Meanwhile, four other markets saw a lower number of contracts.
Via
Talk Markets
U.S. Weekly FundFlows Insight Report: Equity ETFs Attract $11.8 Billion For The Fund-Flows Week
August 18, 2022
Investors were overall net purchasers of fund assets (including those of conventional funds and ETFs) for the first week in three, injecting a net $15.9 billion for the fund-flows week ended Wednesday,...
Via
Talk Markets
Short-Term Bonds Are Savior For Fixed-Income Strategies This Year
August 16, 2022
The rout in bonds so far in 2022 has been deep and wide, with a notable exception: short maturities, which have provided valuable stability that’s otherwise in short supply.
Via
Talk Markets
US Stocks Led Markets Last Week As Commodities Tanked
August 08, 2022
American shares rose for a third straight week in trading through Friday’s close (Aug. 5), posting the leading performance for the major asset classes, based on a set of ETFs.
Via
Talk Markets
Bonds Speculators Bets Drop This Week Led By Fed Funds, Eurodollar & 10-Year Bond
August 07, 2022
COT bond market speculator bets were overall lower this week as all eight of the bond markets we cover recorded declining speculative bets on the week.
Via
Talk Markets
Technical Market Report For Saturday, Aug. 6
August 06, 2022
I believe the rally since the mid-June low is a counter trend rally in an ongoing bear market.
Via
Talk Markets
COT Week 30 Charts: Bonds Speculators Bets Fall This Week Led By 10-Year & 5-Year Bonds
July 31, 2022
COT bond market speculator bets were lower this week as just two out of the eight bond markets we cover had higher positioning this week while the other six markets had lower contracts.
Via
Talk Markets
The Short-Term Uptrend Continues After Upside Acceleration
July 30, 2022
The short-term uptrend continues, and it saw quite an upside acceleration towards the end of the week. The indexes are near their early June peaks, and we can measure the strength of the market by...
Via
Talk Markets
Bonds Speculator Bets Mixed This Week Led By Eurodollar, 5-Year & Long Treasury Bond
July 24, 2022
COT bond market speculator bets were mixed evenly this week as four out of the eight bond markets we cover had higher positioning this week while the other four markets had lower speculator contracts.
Via
Talk Markets
It Is Time To Prepare For The Next Short-Term Downtrend
July 23, 2022
The short-term uptrend continues, although it felt as though the market was rolling over. I thought that the next downtrend had started, but I see that the market isn't there yet. However, it is time...
Via
Talk Markets
US Bonds Rallied Last Week, Offering Ballast Vs. Losses Elsewhere
July 18, 2022
Fixed-income markets in the US reverted to their traditional role of delivering upside support when the rest of the portfolio tanks however it’s too soon to say if this is a return to form for bonds...
Via
Talk Markets
COT Week 28 Charts: Bond Market Speculators Bets Mostly Lower Led By Eurodollar, 5-Year & FedFunds
July 17, 2022
COT bond market speculator bets were overall lower this week as just three out of the eight bond markets we cover had higher positioning while the other five markets had lower net speculator...
Via
Talk Markets
The Short-Term Uptrend Continues Despite Rocky Week
July 16, 2022
The short-term uptrend continues. On Wednesday, it looked like the market was getting started on its next short-term down cycle, but on Friday it showed that it wasn't ready to sell off just yet.
Via
Talk Markets
Is It Finally Time To Buy Stocks?
July 15, 2022
Stocks rallied sharply on Friday, July 15. Is this time different?
Via
Talk Markets
What Are the Corporate Bond Markets Telling Us?
July 11, 2022
Keep an eye on these two corporate bonds ETFs to stay ahead of the curve in the stock market.
Via
Talk Markets
COT Week 27 Charts: Bond Market Speculators Bets Higher Overall Led By Ultra US Bonds & 2-Year Bonds
July 10, 2022
COT bonds market speculator bets were mostly higher this week as five out of the eight bond markets we cover had higher positioning this week while three markets had lower contracts.
Via
Talk Markets
The Short-Term Uptrend Continues, But It Hasn't Been Much Of One
July 09, 2022
The short-term uptrend continues. Looking at the PMO index, you would think that this cycle has been a push upward for stock prices, but it has actually been a confusing zigzag that has pushed prices...
Via
Talk Markets
Fed Pivot In 2nd Half?
July 08, 2022
Based on recent history, it would be logical to believe the Fed should be quick to reverse course in the second half of 2022.
Via
Talk Markets
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