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7-10 Year Treasury Bond Ishares ETF
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IEF
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Updated: 4:15 PM EDT, Jul 8, 2024
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No GDP Downturn Forecasted: SPF
August 12, 2023
In contrast to the July WSJ survey, the just-released Survey of Professional Forecasters mean forecast shows no negative GDP growth.
Via
Talk Markets
Biden Sours The Sentiment By Calling China A "Ticking Time Bomb," Hotter PPI Against Stock Market Momo Narrative; Money Flows Negative In Apple, Tesla, And Nvidia
August 11, 2023
To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
Via
Benzinga
Dollar Proves Resilient And Even Strong UK GDP Figures Hardly Dents It
August 11, 2023
The dollar's resilience after initially selling off in response to the as-expected CPI was impressive.
Via
Talk Markets
10-Year US Treasury Yield ‘Fair Value’ Estimate - Friday, Aug. 11
August 11, 2023
The 10-year rate closed at 4.09% yesterday, modestly above the level when last month’s fair-value estimate was updated (3.86%).
Via
Talk Markets
Inflation, Disinflation, And Misinformation
August 10, 2023
A look at the CPI data to see if inflation remains high or if we are being misinformed.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
What America’s Debt Downgrade Means For Investors
August 08, 2023
Fitch’s downgrade could make our debt more expensive. Typically, the lower the rating, the higher the interest rate the issuer has to pay.
Via
Talk Markets
Things That Make Me Go Hmmmm…
August 08, 2023
A look at three current charts that influence my thinking about markets as we enter a seasonally difficult period.
Via
Talk Markets
Rates Spark: Action At Both Ends Of The Curve
August 08, 2023
In the US, we reiterate the notion that the 10yr yield can't really break lower, as there is no room to do so.
Via
Talk Markets
The Greenback Is Softer Ahead Of CPI But Key Chart Points Remain Intact
August 10, 2023
The focus is on today's July US CPI. Given the base effect, the 0.2% rise economists are largely looking for, will translate into the first rise in the year-over-year rate since June 2022 when it...
Via
Talk Markets
After Strong Demand For US Three-Year Notes, Treasury Will Sell $38 Bln 10-Year Notes
August 09, 2023
The Treasury sells $38 bln 10-year notes, whose auctions have been less than stellar recently. The US 10-year yield reached 4.20% last week and is now straddling 4%.
Via
Talk Markets
Markets Continue To Signal A Risk-On Bias Prevails
August 09, 2023
The recent rally in risk assets has confounded some analysts, but right or wrong the revival in animal spirits still has momentum, based on several proxies of market behavior via ETF pairs through...
Via
Talk Markets
Asia Morning Bites - Monday, Aug. 7
August 07, 2023
Asian Markets have yet to fully respond to Friday's mixed payrolls report. Indonesian 2Q23 GDP today
Via
Talk Markets
What If Disinflation Is Just An Illusion?
August 04, 2023
That may, in fact, be the message in the bond market…
Via
Talk Markets
Bonds Over Earnings?
August 03, 2023
Via
Talk Markets
Bears See Nasty Reversal & Soaring Rates
July 28, 2023
This is a bull market. No sane person on earth can argue otherwise. Some may not like it. Some may poke holes in it but bull it is.
Via
Talk Markets
Peek Into Future Thru Futures, CoT; How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
August 06, 2023
Via
Talk Markets
A Rally Back, Or Ready For Another Smack?
August 04, 2023
If inflation upticks expect volume to rage.
Via
Talk Markets
Rates Rocket Again While Metals Hold Their Ground
August 04, 2023
Typically, on this kind of move in bonds, gold and silver sell off as banks balance their books, but not this time.
Via
Talk Markets
Rates, Budget Deficit, Treasury Debt Issuance And Federal Interest Payments – All Rising
August 04, 2023
The federal government sits on nearly $33 trillion in debt, and the budget deficit is on the rise even though the economy is growing. This only means persistently rising interest payments.
Via
Talk Markets
Dollar Analysis: Gold And EUR/USD Outlook In Focus - Nonfarm Payrolls Preview
August 03, 2023
All eyes will turn to the US jobs report on Friday, as the market refocuses on Fed policy after the Fitch downgrade of US credit rating caused a risk-off response in the markets.
Via
Talk Markets
Breakout By 10-Year Yields Suggesting Upside Target Of 6% Yields?
August 03, 2023
Interest rates remain in the spotlight with investors watching every economic data release and wondering when the Federal Reserve will stop raising rates.
Via
Talk Markets
Qualcomm Is Due To Report Earnings, McDonald's And More On CNBC's 'Final Trades'
August 02, 2023
On CNBC’s "Halftime Report Final Trades," Joshua Brown of Ritholtz Wealth Management picked iShares U.S.
Via
Benzinga
Gold: Can Anything Outperform It?
August 01, 2023
The overall rally for gold, silver, and the miners should continue (albeit with shakeouts) for the next several months.
Via
Talk Markets
Weekly Market Pulse: Soft Landing?
July 31, 2023
The economy continues to perform better than expected despite the Fed raising interest rates steadily – and fairly rapidly – over the last year.
Via
Talk Markets
What CoT Shows About The Future Thru Futures, What Hedge Funds Are Buying
July 30, 2023
Both equity bulls and futures traders cannot be right. For the level of easing expected by them to occur, the economy will have to significantly decelerate/enter recession, which markets have not yet...
Via
Talk Markets
Long-Term Outlook For Stocks Is Much Better Than Most Believe
July 30, 2023
Could AI spark a productivity boom? Demographic forces are also in play.
Via
Talk Markets
Caution Prevails Ahead Of Key Fed Decision And Strong Earnings
July 26, 2023
Dow and S&P 500 futures are down 0.1%, and Nasdaq 100 futures lose 0.2% as investors await the Fed decision.
Via
Talk Markets
Elliott Wave Insights & Strategies: Commodities & Futures Market Analysis
July 26, 2023
At present, Crude oil has been surging, and it seems to be heading toward a significant resistance level at $80.00.
Via
Talk Markets
Weekly Market Pulse: The Broadening
July 24, 2023
This market rally from the lows of October 2022 continues to surprise and impress.
Via
Talk Markets
Visiting The Future Thru Futures - What The CoT Shows Buyers Buying
July 23, 2023
Non-commercials' net shorts in VIX futures are at a 61-week low. If past is prelude, VIX only peaks once these traders go either net long or get close to doing that.
Via
Talk Markets
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