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Euro Bounces Back, But The Turkish Lira Remains Unloved
November 18, 2021
The euro overshot the (61.8%) retracement target of the rally that took it from near $1.0640 in March 2020 to high on January 6, around $1.2350.
Via
Talk Markets
2022 FX Outlook: Liquid Allsorts
November 17, 2021
2022 stands to be a further year of convalescence and recovery in the global economy.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
European Gas Jumps, While The Euro And Yen Slump
November 17, 2021
On the heels of a strong employment report, the UK reported a larger than expected increase in the October CPI. The preferred measure, which includes owner-equivalent housing costs, jumped to 3.8% from...
Via
Talk Markets
FX Daily: Stronger Dollar Comes In Handy
November 11, 2021
Trade-weighted measures of the dollar have pushed up to the highest levels of the year as surging US inflation makes the case for tighter monetary policy.
Via
Talk Markets
Mexican Peso Forecast: USD/MXN To Retain Bearish Bias Post-Fed Ahead Of Banxico
November 07, 2021
In the coming week, the Mexican central bank is expected to raise the overnight rate by 25 basis points to 5.00%, followed by another hike of the same magnitude in December.
Via
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Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Today’s Banxico Decision: Is Time Running Out?
May 13, 2021
Mexico’s central bank is closing in on an inflection point, which might imply a change in policy.
Via
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Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
And The Dollar Bounces Back, While BOE Is In Focus
November 04, 2021
The Federal Reserve announced tapering and, like the Reserve Bank of Australia earlier in the week, did not validate expectations for an aggressive rate hike.
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Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
What Might It Take For The Fed To Deliver A Hawkish Tapering Announcement?
November 03, 2021
With the FOMC's decision several hours away, the dollar is trading lower against nearly all the major currencies. The Antipodeans and Norwegian krone are leading.
Via
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Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
October 2021 Market Commentary
October 01, 2021
The US dollar was driven higher in September by two main factors. The first was the anticipation of the Federal Reserve continuing to move toward tapering before the end of the year.
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Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Frenemies Talk, But Progess Is Elusive
September 10, 2021
The US dollar is paring this week's gains, retreating against most of the major and emerging market currencies today amid a risk-on mood.
Via
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Don't Make A Fetish Out Of What May Be A Minor Change In The Pace Of ECB Bond Buying
September 09, 2021
Yesterday's retreat in US indices was part of and helped further this bout of profit-taking. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index ended an eight-day advance yesterday and fell further today.
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September Monthly: Market Commentary
September 01, 2021
The US dollar was driven to new highs for the year in recent weeks by a combination of another signal that the Federal Reserve was still on track to taper before the end of the year and concerns about...
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Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
The Dollar Begins September Heavier (Mostly)
September 01, 2021
The new month begins with risk appetites bolstered by stronger than expected PMI reports helping lift equity markets after the pause in the US yesterday.
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Two Major Surprises Today: China's PMI On The Downside And Eurozone CPI On The Upside
August 31, 2021
The dollar has been sold against nearly all the currencies today. Among the majors, the Antipodeans and Swedish krona lead the move. The euro rose briefly through $1.1830 in the European morning, its...
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Little Follow-Through From Powell's Goose
August 30, 2021
There has been some follow-through activity after Fed Chair Powell's pre-weekend Jackson Hole comments, which confirmed the likely tapering ahead of year-end.
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Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Mexican Peso Weekly Forecast: USD/MXN Back Within Key Range As USD Flops
August 01, 2021
USD/MXN continues to build on its recent bearish momentum coming back into a strong support area between 19.87 and 19.67 where sellers are really going to have to battle it out to build further gains.
Via
Talk Markets
Trading Support And Resistance - Sunday, July 18
July 18, 2021
The Forex market saw its level of volatility stay approximately the same last week, with 33% of all the important currency pairs or crosses moving by more than 1% in value. Volatility is likely to...
Via
Talk Markets
Mexico’s Annual Headline Inflation Cools, But Core CPI Jumps, USD/MXN Shrugs Off Data
July 08, 2021
Mexico's headline inflation cooled moderately last month relative to May's results, as lower livestock prices helped offset increases in multiple other sources, such as goods and services.
Via
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July 2021 Monthly
July 01, 2021
After falling in April and May, the US dollar rebounded in June, gaining against all the major currencies. The move appeared to begin as a technical adjustment to positions after the two-month slide...
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Markets Week Ahead: Gold, Dow, Pound-Dollar, BoE Rate Decision, Fed Risk, PMIs
June 20, 2021
Markets were roiled by a wave of volatility last week largely in response to the Fed bringing forward its interest rate hike projections. This helped fuel a massive influx of US Dollar strength.
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Stocks
Exposures
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US Equities
Weekly Forex Forecast - Sunday, June 20
June 20, 2021
The Australian dollar had a horrible week, ultimately reaching down towards the 0.75 handle. This is a market that certainly seems to be struggling and now it looks very likely that we are going to...
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Talk Markets
Mexican Peso Weekly Forecast: USD/MXN Charges Higher
June 20, 2021
USD/MXN has been on a strong uptrend since the US Dollar bounced back last week, helped even further by the Fed’s hawkish comments on Wednesday’s FOMC meeting.
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Economy
Exposures
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Markets Week Ahead: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, US Dollar, Fed, Gold, Crude Oil, Yen, BoJ
June 13, 2021
All eyes are on the Fed on Wednesday. Chair Jerome Powell will almost surely be questioned about the latest CPI report and what the path for policy tapering could look like.
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Economy
Stocks
Exposures
Fossil Fuels
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US Equities
Mexican Peso Forecast: Waters Turn Murkier For The Dollar, USD/MXN Remains Vulnerable
June 13, 2021
The Mexican Peso finished the week relatively unchanged against the US dollar near the 19.95 mark, in a context of subdued volatility in the FX markets ahead of the Fed two day meeting next week.
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Exposures
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Consolidation In FX May Be Welcome Given Volatility Elsewhere
May 23, 2021
The reluctance of the Federal Reserve officials to signal a recalibration of policy given the booming economy,and rising inflation expectations continues to cap the dollar.
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Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Mexican Peso Weekly Forecast: USD/MXN Drops As Markets Price In Rate Cut Despite Banxico Dismissal Of Inflation
May 16, 2021
USD/MXN once again started the week with a bullish bias as the US Dollar pick up buying momentum as inflation fears caused bond yields to rise towards the upper bounds of their post-pandemic range.
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Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
Softer Yields = Softer Dollar
May 14, 2021
The surge in consumer prices reported on Wednesday saw rates jump and the dollar push higher.
Via
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USD/MXN Continues Lower As Bank Of Mexico Leaves 4.0% Rate Steady
May 13, 2021
The Mexican Peso was largely unfazed by today’s interest rate decision from the Bank of Mexico, which saw the Mexican central bank hold its benchmark rate at 4.00%, as widely expected.
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Exposures
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The Dollar Stabilizes But Stocks, Not So Much
May 12, 2021
The markets remain on edge. Asia Pacific and US equities have yet to find stable footing, and inflation fears are elevated. The foreign exchange market has turned quiet as the dollar consolidates its...
Via
Talk Markets
Markets Week Ahead: Gold, EUR/USD, S&P 500, FTSE 100, Inflation, Sentiment
May 09, 2021
Looking to the week ahead, big ticket items include the release of US inflation and retail sales data. These high-impact data releases stand to set the tone for trader risk appetite. Consumer sentiment...
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Stocks
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US Equities
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